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AI Summary
- Peter Turchin, an evolutionary biologist, pioneered 'cliodynamics,' applying mathematical models to historical data to predict societal trends and instability.
- His 2010 Nature publication predicted peak economic, social, and political instability in the U.S. around 2020—a prediction validated by that year's turbulent events.
- Using scientific methods to study history challenges traditional assumptions that historical analysis is art rather than science and allows prediction of future instability patterns.