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Dwarkesh Podcast
Dwarkesh Podcast

An audio version of my blog post, Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Dec 23, 2025 · 12m
AI Summary
  • Discusses what metrics actually measure in AI scaling and challenges the narrative that economic diffusion lag proves slow AI progress
  • Argues goal-post shifting about AGI capabilities is justified given genuine advances in model performance and reasoning
  • Examines reinforcement learning scaling and the possibility of broadly deployed intelligence explosions in the near term

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